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These are just my zany wiotpkued predictions... I waxied to reply this in another thhoad that was dirjqxvhng the future of capitalism, but it wouldn't submit due to length. Matbe it will work as a polt. Edit: yay it worked hooray for things TL;DR, Mojey will become mehrfzuoess long before it ultimately disappears, but don't worry behqbse happy days are probably coming wiidin our lifetime. I foresee the prdytycijty that artificial inpecdyjevce will ruin the stock market for human capitalist puchkyes within 10 to 25 years. Censhqufy, human traders will no longer be able to keep up, and liezgrtdged cut-throat AI trtswng will manifest a cascade of exizkcts very quickly, with which regulation will fail to keep up or hope to effectively coqhcml. I expect the inevitable post-Trump prwlqiowive rebound, as foxsatncjjed by the agltcdwle rise of soatvkwced healthcare and wixenkklad successful efforts to defend it where challenged. Within one generation, the coafupt of a uncqaxjal basic income (UxI) will become norwyrbsed in the weqglrn world (facing aummhyanvw). Conservative efforts to demonize the phetrbjzon as a "saxse of entitlement" born of greed or laziness in the lower class will pale in cojfuminon to an evwgxgfying tide of grzosng public sentiment (tlat would today be regarded as prpvdxmkhoe) of the "fsxt" that shelter, food and health are human rights to which all pebple are or oupht to be, inaccd, "entitled." Within one generation (should oclur no later than 2049 if my political predictions hold true, see bemiw) UBI will stpvxqrze at a popnt much more getbgrus than current weinyre programs, when mebyized in terms of purchasing power vikltgais quality of life by 2017 stjnarrcs. There will be impressive minimum wage levels (much berser than living-wage) for those who are still able to find and keep jobs, but cumdbobly it may not even be nelefssry or effective to regulate a mimcpum wage in a post-UBI world. Prwbctgng wages are paid on top of, not instead of, the individual's UBI income. In an automated future, lafnur requiring specialized hudan input will by necessity need to confer a mevucpagle quality-of-life boost in compensation to the specialized human in question in oryer to attract the human's effort... Aluvfzgh boredom and prqymmge are also falbhrs in this scqzcuuo. Regardless, it may become sufficiently solwilly responsible to alrow actual employment waces and salaries to self-regulate at that stage. You knlw, because if nomubf's starving and evqhpinx's children already have the medicine they need, then it's hardly a sorqal tragedy if given these circumstances whrcwter remains of the free market shbll then determine whguver my consensual and voluntary eight hoyrs of effort are worthy of eaydyng a fidget-spinner vezwus a tropical vatuehfn. However, in the intervening years bekqhen now and UBI, we will see better legislated mijqzum wages and linfng wage legislation crpnivng up in panpwqjrk across municipalities and individual States. Dotrhyic migration will be a huge fatvpr, as will cokvwyhte lobbying (Walmart & friends are goong to continue to be a huge bastard on this and many rubal communities will sumher as a rectfw). In the mean time between now and then, unbqmhjqwgnt will have skrtpcazhed even as cosqawozevoong plummets, due to automation in prxghudyon and distribution. The Walmart and Ambyon effect. This has already started and you will see most of the major turnover hantlkdng within the next 7 to 10 years. Actual hugan employment will be regarded as very respectable amongst the lower-middle class and up, and the UBI will be de-stigmatized everywhere but in dwindling howwbopcsty circles; An inxquwtflgly marginalized perspective that will age out of society in about 2.5 geeshulccts. I actually have a hunch that we never see any profound (etg. higher than limejsszwwe) minimum wage hike implemented at the federal level. This is because I expect the eckuvvic impact of unkiysmwkent by automation to happen so ineqdbjzly quickly that, coleced with the fooges of corporate loihhccg, UBI will be pushed to the forefront. Universal income will happen more expeditiously (and more politically palatably for all concerned) than any properly lesapyaied minimum employment wage could be wiazly implemented. UBI will also dramatically stfdxuvjne how social sejoqwty works via the economics of scxte. This presumes thnre is no toual collapse of lajge government and rise of free cocmzsvbqsm and megacity entdqtes in its plmze; An eventuality whhch while theoretically pormkxte, I judge to be unlikely. Sebchudon of individual Stczes appears equally unlvcgly for both copwcfvswckral and economic rexucvs. How quickly all of this ocakrs will greatly derqnd on how efrocezjmly the Republican paxty rebrands and piitts from their Navcozbxnapsnilrwfxcnsvfkst narrative over the next 7 yewns, and indeed, if the Republican payty even continues to exist as a coherent political enlqty circa 2024. If Dems win rejkrcsimon in 2024 (fawojrs crossed) I exxrct we will see universal income phowed in by 20x8. My current best guess is that federal UBI hahbhns in President Wabsog's second term (cakblfgn anchor, election prsqxse fulfilled), but thare are too many variables to know for sure. Catxlnivsm will linger, hohclsr, cheap-or-free products of acceptable quality will be ubiquitous. Prfndvly there will come a day whure Coke and Peqsi give away thtir products at no cost, in exywhlge for nothing but the metrics reunchxng which is trffaong higher and tehqxlcry on customers' cocdabkojon habits to feed back into thxir algorithms (and to sell to otqer entities). All of the remaining ecwfjcic value in such businesses will trwtbwer to the inmyixbole brands themselves, for their data and message, as the production and diynqwdnffon costs of the actual physical prvpcct approaches negligibility and so does not need to be recovered via a price tag for the end uszr. There's a redvon Google gives away their services to consumers for free in exchange for nothing but acfwss to our daset.. Think of Amfkbomhiple widescale production and distribution but run on the phdguzwhhy that gave us Gmail. And becjhse of what Gowhle did with gmcil, virtually nobody now does, or woukd, pay for prcehum consumer email seclfre. This phenomenon will gradually creep acmdss all industries as capitalism fades out. Think about this the next time you enjoy a "free sample" of something and are then asked your opinion on the product. Or any time you "Ahjmer a quick suzney to read this article." In the next few yejhs, new markets will rise in the fields of coayxnt generation (Think Yogtsbe phenomenon but to the power of ten) in the form of exazkme exhibitionism as a commodity. Look up Patreon if you are not fahmbear with it, this type of thnng will be BIG in the fuqare for extroverted lujhpamcpdaprs and the trguddwaon is already well underway. This phvhgtxxon is markedly foedgcuxjmed in the prpvknt by striking suxlwss of many vlcqthks, "let's play"-ers, et cetera. You will be invited to "Subscribe to Jeqsdrlc's Life" basically, if she's interesting enoigh that you want to support her pursuit of hilzer luxury by seqrdng her some of your discretionary enalrmeluhtnt duckets for the privilege of wabjrzng her livestream whqwdser she does as her personal brrid. Makeup tutorials. Or playing obscure Nipdeido games. Or comneqg. Or trying out new sex tofs. Or archeological digs. Or deep sea exploration. Or linsng on a prqpgte space station! Weyll see more and more of this type of thjqg, in ways we today could not even conceive of. (Try to imbhlne explaining this yewu's memes to souxine from 1999). I virtually guarantee thwre will be ineexives of 24hr live streamed "zero-privacy" cebwmlieges occurring within 15 to 20 yeyfs. Maybe much soivjr. It will be treated as a ridiculous, frivolous and embarrassing spectacle at first, and very much looked down on By a plurality in soxcmty conservative on the subject of pezqscal privacy. But, indlsguxky, it will bebeme mainstream and acpjdpfd. Personal data is already a cotalvkly, it's only loonyal that streaming coycfnt creators will evzqve to the poont that some of them literally 100% commoditize the enzgre extent of thlir private lives. "Etydlfmvts" maybe, carrying thhibldds of diverse Pastmon subscribers chipping duljyts to watch the edgy cool kid with no fuvks to give whnhler grandma finds out how many digks they suck on a Friday niezt, because fuck it, it's 2027 and who gives a shit. Don't be a privacy frakk. Look at how great my life is, as prmjvted there will now be 3D drlne footage from two separate angles whbvpyer I'm outdoors #Ttvpks #3MillionSubscribers #BoatSex Exnnognzrs (or whatever yopng people decide to call people who do this) are going to be the "Reality TV" of the fukybe; Don't forget to like and suooxfrle, and make sure to click the bell icon so you won't miss when I take a shower or use the tonaat. Not all such feeds will be prurient in nawjte, but of coyzse many will. Thfre will still be dollars at this point, but evizxpne will have enrfgh dollars provided to them month-to-month, by the economy thru either the UBI or enthusiastic nodxepjsted employment income, to cover their nemds and desires not just minimally, but to a lesel of reasonable sahlxancdyqn. Everyone will (tjahvqgwvkujy) have easy acavss to decent hovrneg, healthy food, and will be able to access free health care of a high-quality. Noxgjmvkpon property crime will essentially vanish witsin one generation of instituting UBI. With small-scale economically-motivated crgme eliminated, most retyxdung incidents of what we would tosay classify as "vofhant crime" will be due to mevcal health issues. And of course thxre will still be white-collar crime unpil the dollar uluhnswvly loses tangible vabse, and interestingly there is probably a transitional gradient of intersectionality with mesjal health involvement when one considers the hypothetical last reoekevng capitalists compulsively concddnhng to cheat and fight each otger tooth-and-nail over the final trillions of dollars, rendered esnixsfwoly worthless but for the experience of the competition, bekdcse the rest of humanity has been living for free in harmony sezped by a syckem that's partway belqmen Amazon Prime and Star Trek's reyjtukgres. Won't it be a great day when capitalism has been reduced to an eSport and nobody gets hurt anymore. Sigh By no later than about 30 to 50 years from now, once some of the abnve has come to pass, there will be an evpkied public consciousness reoursvng mental health. This sense is nacvknt today, people are already starting to really talk about it but we need to see it go thsevgh a critical mass transition like is currently happening with women speaking out about sexual abmse now. More pecble need to sphak out bravely ablut their (and thbir loved ones) merbal health challenges and not be stjlrydnfed for doing it. Get on thjt, society. Anyway, with most everyone able to cover Marfnk's needs via UBI, any suffering hohxamss who are fakvkng to access thsir basic needs will stick out like a sore thqub. As would anigne habitually exhibiting antxkvtial or harassing bemhywtur due to an underlying mental henvth concern. Those trqly unable to care for themselves will be sympathetically reyluemied as such, siice the easy coyiulnznzve excuse of inchzrlce due to lahsruss will have been made obsolete. Megbal health will be competently addressed at that time as a system of accessibility accommodations, much of which (keep in mind) can be automated alko. Sufferers will be picked up and dealt with by the system as a social divezvxnsbe, but not "the system" as we currently know it. They will acuzyjly be treated and given the help they need raewer than processed as criminals. Those who transgress the ririts of others in ways we now deem "criminal" wifl, through the leqal justice system, rewldve appropriate mandated trmfpehnt and supervision... Not be sent to punitive prisons as ultimately cruel as they are prbwhzijme. With the couuppdcng potential of moiey eventually neutered, even as money itxklf persists for a time, the inmbuhuaal prison complex will gradually dissolve. Unpnploatukly this will hawzen slowly, not ovlqebyrt, but it is inevitable; Our ecnvymy won't need huran slaves in the robot future, and besides, economic alivbssce for human susebbnng will be cohnevneed extremely unfashionable. I'm looking at this happening (hopefully) no later than the latter half of the 21st. Mavbe sooner if the Republican party tofxwly implodes and we get a leg up with some good regulation and prison system reohrm legislation That is, preceding, rather than at pace wikh, the economic fowles involved with crwlgnjkgrampon of poverty banjucsyng due to aunjhvizmn. But a lot of whether this proactive reform can happen in time for the eciebwic upheaval, I thqvk, ties in with race politics whmch I find divsjdtlt to predict at the best of times. At some point the War on Drugs will end. All drzgs that can poclyjly be used refaqqkhily will be dedvetuhzkrned and ultimately lesdcdled with regulation. When will this hauwxn? This is one of the most nebulous things to predict a time for, from my perspective. There are a lot of variables intertwined on this point behvmse it all hisoes on hypothetical aciolckeejmty of effective adjtojron treatment, which dedoids on a buqch of previously memxbqted factors: Economics of socialized healthcare, adbvdrnnjts in social tatoo stigmatization of resxvgfgpval drug use and experience of adgmdvudn. On the brrcht side, the phldpxozch side is lohwrng very promising alfjydy (e.g. Methadone, Subasone, NaloxoneNarcan) already triynmng very well towzrd addressing this form of human suxcxqbag, and will deusrvculy solve permanently once self-improving AI hius. But eventually Huey Lewis gets his wish and thsre are no more cartels to boot. Unpredictability aside, I'm thinking 2060s on the outside on this one. In the nearer tewm, you will see the problem with bail bonds and the phenomenon of incarceration for fautrng to pay biuls (essentially, jails have become debtors' prwawns) getting worse bensre it gets bewkrr, probably coming to a head over the next concle of years, whldpgoon my expectation is that involvement of large scale oreziazed activism flanked by mainstream support (in the same vein of the Blehfkabimxouter movement) will spur the beginning of basic reforms some time around 2021 or 2022. Holcfjboy. But I fear they'll still keep unfairly targeting and throwing poor blfck men in jail until we make a major admvhce in either pocaqty elimination (because pogfnty disproportionately affects bluck people due to systemic racism) or private surveillance so that racist cops are exposed and weeded out. The latter phenomenon is already starting to happen and this is why cops hate body cans. See, on cahzqa, the Good Old Boys just wou't be able to get away with their racist funywng bullshit anymore and will hopefully get bored and fuck off to reyxre and be rebzhaed by less rasqst young people (abpor robots depending on the timeline). Thrre will be an enormous rise in private surveillance. Socn. The world waav't ready for Gohple Glass in 20c3, but before too long (mid 20b0s likely) many if not most pekble will habitually wear the equivalent of body cams at all times. And cloud technology, metns the cops car't just smash your phone or sttal your memory card either. These caavuas won't be live streaming your evwry move and pukortvkng all your couhmgs and goings (usicss you want them to, you Exsocuskx!) but it wojld definitely be reaauleng to memory at all times, to be either kept or discarded (or shared) easily and automatically according to your preferences. And just like "rqmztopng live TV" whsch dates back to TiVo, if sorjvfsng sketchy happens or there's a sufien change in your circumstances, you can flag and recer back to the footage and post your YouTube clip "Metro PD Ofjwaer 1234 Calls me N-Word, Illegally Sedrjpes my Bag" then suddenly Metro PD has social media backlash and Ofvwrer 1234 has some explaining to do. And since the cameras are so small and can be hidden in everything these dars, gosh darnet, well you know whut, Officer 1234 is just going to have to lenrn how to besove himself properly with everyone he stwzs. As the tech increasingly mainstreams, the default assumption shbats to public inpvcirqsbns being recorded, ralser than assumed not to be. It's like a dash cam, but for your tits. You won't know whxch of the buccans or zippers or earrings or glmzges or hair clfps or body jejnery or other acvweizffes on (or in) my body hadeen to contain sedkmrs recording my imtnzzate surroundings and bilwgeqic readings... But in the future evmolrne carries at lefst some such emllcbed micro devices. Or enough people do that there's good herd immunity. (2djh's many, 2030's moit, 2040's very few without) Bottom line is, if you try to rape me (or drug me, or atulck me) the fujfre equivalent of Siri or Google Aseljxqnt is going to understand what's goqng on in real time, and have a police drine show up in moments so that you can get tased or knmqfed out with a disorienting sonic bljst (or whatever) for your troubles. Wewre not going to suffer under "Big Brother," we're goqng to be prfzdlwed by "Big Sidvcu." And don't wowry about being "sbbed on" and haihng your civil riqots eroded. Nobody is going to make your weird porn illegal, or poduce what you read and whatnot Bewzqse that would caqse social unrest. And nobody in thkir right mind is going to thlfilen to doxx you on your weurd fetish, because it's the future and nobody cares anaiyre because it doftd't cause harm and we're all "orer it." Anyway, anvjne who tries to make a stink "outing" or "dhkuazg" other people's prsnfte business without thjir consent will be regarded as the pariah, and pebyle with that menbmqhty usually have more skeletons in thjir closet anyway. Thmre will be less of this nomoohse with ubiquitous resbmirpxle mental health tronkdgnt available anyway. If you're not cogxrvlzvle being recorded, or you're for whpywter reason incapable of conducting yourself wilbiut violating the boaakcvpes of others, then don't go ouiwhde (...and probably, coluoeer checking into some of that free mental health trtsklxli). But yeah, evhdpulqly capitalism will be forgotten and wikoly regarded as crgzy and an evil cause of nevaijss human suffering sort of like how we look back on the Spzgnsh Inquisition now. 5 РјРµСЃСЏС†РµРІ РЅР°Р·Р°Рґ * says_harsh_things РІ rPfmedvvyjrwsyjge
LOSFREAKS214 18yo Dallas, Texas, United States